Implications of Global Warming of 1.5-4°C in Six Vulnerable Countries

Lecturer: Rachel Warren / Tyndall Centre




Abstract:

Nations tend to conduct independent climate change risk assessments using widely different scenarios and modelling approaches, making comparison of risks between different countries difficult. I will present the findings of a recently completed project funded by the UK Department of Business and Industrial Strategy that conducted a consistent and harmonised assessment of the risks associated with 1.5° to 4°C of global warming above preindustrial levels in six separate nations. The project considers risks associated with drought, water stress, fluvial and coastal flooding, crop yields and biodiversity. It continues to explore some of the implications of these projected risks for regional economic and natural capital. The findings are submitted to Climatic Change as a Topical Collection, guest edited by GERICS Director Prof Daniela Jacob and GERICS scientist Tania Guillen.